DAILY COMMENTS

Wednesday, Nov 22

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE has found support around the 61.8% support level on the daily chart as the corrective move lower stalls. The short term bias has turned bullish and push higher is expected. Expect conditions overall to remain choppy.

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Wednesday, Nov 15

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed lower for the 4 consecutive session as is coming close to the 50% retracement leve. There was some indication that bargain hunters were on the prowl towards the end of the session so we may see a bounce tomorrow. We expect any upside to be limited in the short term.

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Tuesday, Nov 14

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed lower for the 3 consecutive session. The index is in correction mode and is fast approaching the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which may offer some relief to the bulls. The preferred trade in the short term is to sell into strength as this corrective phase plays out.

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Monday, Nov 13

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed lower for the second consecutive selling as the bearish momentum begins to gather some speed. A marginal lower low was made on the session which could indicate a further move lower. The bias as switched in the short term, look to sell into rallies.

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Friday, Nov 10

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE bounced a touch yesterday following the corrective move lower on Tuesday. While below the 7560-80 level there is scope for a deeper correction. The immediate signals are difficult to interpret.

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Thursday, Nov 09

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE bounced a touch yesterday following the corrective move lower on Tuesday. While below the 7560-80 level there is scope for a deeper correction. The immediate signals are difficult to interpret.

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Wednesday, Nov 08

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE reversed sharply in yesterdays session, crashing through our intraday support levels. There has been some bearish divergence creeping in over the past few weeks, which may be a signal that there is an impending correction. The next level of interest on the downside is the short term uptrend line.

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Tuesday, Nov 07

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY



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Thursday, Oct 26

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY



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Wednesday, Oct 25

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY



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Tuesday, Oct 24

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY



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Monday, Oct 23

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed well off the highs on Friday in another volatile showing. The index closed with a shooting star candle which is bearish. This could trigger a move lower. There are plenty of mixed signals at present, which is making trading difficult. While below 7565 there is scope for a further move lower.

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Friday, Oct 20

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE slipped in the early part of the session but recovered off the lows towards the close. A break back higher now would create a bullish flag pattern and suggest a continuation higher. The key level to watch on the upside is 7565.

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Wednesday, Oct 18

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE continues to edge lower from the key resistance at 7550. The corrective move has been light so far, we are watching to see if something stronger will materialise.

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Tuesday, Oct 17

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed lower as we continue to see the index stall around the highs. The shooting star candle suggest we may be in for a corrective move lower from here in the short term.

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Monday, Oct 16

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed higher yesterday as it continues to threaten the previous all time highs. We are now in overbought territory and believe the upside potential is limited in the very near term.

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Friday, Oct 13

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE closed higher yesterday as it continues to threaten the previous all time highs. We are now in overbought territory and believe the upside potential is limited in the very near term.

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Thursday, Oct 12

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE stalled at the highs yesterday to close the session out with a doji candle. This highlights indecision, which could lead to a corrective move lower in the near term.

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Wednesday, Oct 11

DAILY TRADING STRATEGY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The FTSE moved higher yesterday and is challenging the previous all time highs. This may prevent further upside in the short term but looks likely to eventually give way and a for continuation of the long term trend.

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STOCKS WE FOLLOW

Market Quotes by TradingView

RESEARCH REPORTS

Monday, Nov 06

5 Stocks to Buy in November

October has been a good month for the FTSE100, with the index having moved 2.67% on the month from lows at 7170 to the highs at 7567. Overall the index continues to trade in a large range between 7100 - ...

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Thursday, Oct 19

London property prices stall, is there a CRASH coming?

The latest house price data shows that London house prices are falling at their fastest pace since the financial crisis and the capital is currently the worst- performing part of the country. Is this a correction in the value of a property or the beginning of a crash? The data according to Acadata Ltd and LSL Property Services PLC, suggests that home values in London have declined 2.7% from a year ago.

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Friday, Oct 06

INVESTING AND TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES

How to invest in a new and rapidly growing asset class? We provide an insight into the fundamentals of the major cryptocurrencies and lay out the details on how to get setup to trade. We also provide technical analysis view to support your trading activities.

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Thursday, Sep 28

5 Stocks to Buy in October

September has been a tough month for the FTSE100, with the Index being down, around 1.5% on the month from 7430. The index continues to trade in Range-Bound fashion between 7100-7550 points. Support at 7300 points broke down and we are currently attempting to retake this level. Overall the Index remains bullish, but we can foresee more Range-Bound/volatile trade between 7100-7500 points. Conditions remain favourable for buying shares but we advise towards selective buying of shares.

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MORNING REPORTS & ECONOMIC CALENDAR

Thursday, Nov 23

Market News in Brief

MARKETS SUMMARY 

RBS: Britain will reprivatise bailed-out lender Royal Bank of Scotland by selling 15 billion pounds ($20 billion) of 
shares, according to budget documents released on Wednesday, in a boost to finance minister Philip 
Hammond's coffers. 

CMC MARKETS: CMC Markets chairman Simon Waugh is to step down two years after its London flotation, Sky 
News reported on Wednesday. 

BRITAIN-AIRLINES: Britain's aviation industry on Wednesday criticised changes to a tax on air passengers which 
will freeze the duty for a majority of customers, saying they did not go far enough to keep Britain competitive as 
Brexit approaches. 

BRITAIN-INFLATION: The British public's expectations for inflation over the next 12 months dropped to 2.6 percent 
this month from October's four-year high of 2.8 percent, a monthly survey by polling company YouGov showed 
on Wednesday. 

GOLD: Gold prices nudged lower on Thursday, with investors taking profits after gains of nearly 1 percent in the 
previous session on weaker U.S. economic data and concerns among some Federal Reserve policymakers over 
lower inflation. 

OIL: Oil prices eased on Thursday, with U.S. crude dipping away from two-year highs reached the day before, but 
the shutdown of the Keystone pipeline and a drawdown in fuel inventories continued to bolster markets despite 
worries over rising output. 

EX-DIVS: Carnival, DCC, National Grid and Vodafone Group will trade without entitlement to their latest dividend 
pay-out on Thursday, trimming 6.89 points off the FTSE 100 according to Reuters calculations. 

 

MARKETS SUMMARY 


                         Last             Change       Proportion 
FTSE 100        7419.02       +7.68           +0.10% 
FTSE 250        20013.86     +69.88         +0.35% 
DJIA                 23526.18    -64.65            -0.27% 
S&P 50             2597.08     -1.95               -0.08% 
EuroStoxx 50    3562.65     -16.67              -0.47% 
Nikkei 225         22523.15    +106.67          +0.48% 



 

                             Last 
US 10yr Yield       2.35% 
EUR/GBP             €0.8887 
GBP/USD             $1.3312 
EUR/USD             €1.1834 
Gold                      $1286.95 
Oil (WTI)               $58.05 




MACRO COMMENTARY 

European equities are poised to open lower on Thursday following a mixed closed in the U.S. and expected lower 
trading flows due to Thanksgiving. The FTSE 100 is seen down by 4 points at 7,401; the DAX is set to start lower 
by 37 points at 12,972; and the CAC 40 is set to open lower by 6 points at 5,347, according to IG. In Asia, markets 
were mostly lower after Federal Reserve minutes showed that concerns over inflation persist despite a probable 
rate hike in "the near term." U.S. markets are closed for Thanksgiving. Back in Europe, the focus is on earnings 
and several data releases. Centrica, London Gatwick Airport and Rovio are among the firms reporting Thursday. 
Thyssenkrupp posted record elevator orders, contributing to its highest order intake in five years. The firm also 
said Thursday that it still aims to sign a contract with Tata Steel in early 2018. In other corporate news, the 
German business software giant SAP has started a probe into its Gulf business, Reuters reported. Looking at 
data, there will be euro zone flash manufacturing and services PMIs at 9.00 a.m. London time and business 
investment numbers out in the U.K. at 9.30 a.m. London time. 

 


MAJOR ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS 

Time    Announcements                                        Importance     Consensus    Previous 
09:30   United Kingdom GDP (Q/Q)                      High               0.40%            0.40% 
09:30   United Kingdom GDP (Y/Y)                       High               1.50%            1.50% 
12:30   ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts   High 


 

CORPORATE ANNOUNCEMENTRS 

FTSE 100 Stocks 

 

Severn Trent (SVT) – Interim Results 

Group turnover of £850.4 million, up £30.4 million (3.7%) 
Group underlying PBIT1 of £287.8 million, up £12.1 million (4.4%) 
Group reported PBIT £296.1 million, down 0.2% 
Underlying basic EPS2 of 65.9 pence (up 7.7%). Reported basic EPS from continuing operations 62.6 
pence (down 20.2%) 
Interim dividend of 34.63p (up 6.2%) 


Centrica (CNA) – Trading Statement 

Adjusted operating cash flow to be above £2bn. 
Group capital investment, including any small acquisitions of less than £100m each, to be below the 
£1bn limit with E&P capex around £500m. 
Incremental revenue investment of around £100m in growth areas. 
2017 efficiency savings approaching £300m, in excess of the original £250m target, and in addition to 
2016 savings of £384m. 
Like-for-like direct headcount reduction of over 1,500. 
Net debt to be within the targeted £2.5-£3.0bn range. 


 

FTSE 250 Stocks 

 

Mitchells & Butler (MAB) – Full Year Results 

Like-for-like sales growth maintained 
Consistent sales outperformance of market 
Performance reflects successful implementation of strategy 
Full year like-for-like sales a up 1.8% and up 2.3%a in recent 7 weeks 
Adjusted operating profit of £314mb, down 3.1% on a 52 week basis 
Adjusted earnings per share of 34.9pb, down 1.4% on a 52 week basis 


 

 

UPGRADES / DOWNGRADES 

UPGRADES   Stock                Broker                     From     To 
RDSB              Royal Dutch     Shell AlphaValue     Sell       Reduce 

DOWNGRADES     Stock        Broker               From      To 

 

 

 

Economic Calendar

Time     Event                                                                Importance     Forecast       Previous 
07:00    Germany GDP (Y/Y)                                        High                2.60%           2.30% 
07:00    Germany GDP (Q/Q)                                        High               0.80%           0.80% 
08:00    Markit Serv PMI(DEC)                                       Medium        56.9               57.3 
08:00    Markit Mfg PMI(DEC)                                         Medium       55.9               56.1 
08:30    EUR German PMI Composite(DEC)                  Medium       56.6               56.6 
08:30    EUR German PMI Services(DEC)                      Medium       55                 54.7 
08:30    EUR German Manufacturing PMI (M/M)(DEC)   Medium       60.3             60.6 
09:00    Euro-Zone PMI Manufacturing(DEC)                  Medium       58.3             58.5 
09:00    Euro-Zone PMI Services(DEC)                           Medium       55.2              55 
09:00    Euro-Zone PMI Composite(DEC)                        Medium       56                 56 
09:30    GBP Total Business Investment (Q/Q)                Medium       0.40%           0.50% 
09:30    United Kingdom GDP (Q/Q)                                High            0.40%           0.40% 
09:30    United Kingdom GDP (Y/Y)                                 High            1.50%           1.50% 
12:30    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts             High 
23:50    JPY Buying Foreign Bonds(NOV 01)                  Medium                           -105.0B 
23:50    JPY Buying Foreign Stocks(NOV 01)                 Medium                             182.4B 

REAL ESTATE FOCUS

UK Real State coverage

We partnered with HousePrice AI to provide a unique insight into the RE sector and how it affects real estate related stocks and ETFs

SEQUANT RE PORTFOLIO

HousePrice AI (HPAI) developed an algorithm based on machine learning and big data that allows to predict the price of a property around UK with an error of 1-2% within a second.

Using the data and indexes developed by the HPAI we are analysing the real estate sector and determining correlations between property related exchange traded instruments thus having a unique insight into which stocks may be mispriced.

SEQUANT RE PORTFOLIO We have compiled a basket of stocks and ETFs that have high correlation to property prices and aim to predict the dynamics of the basket looking at where the prices move.


MODEL PORTFOLIOS

MODEL PORTFOLIOS We have developed a model that filters multiple fundamental and technical parameters and rank instruments accordingly.

This process for investment has been refined over many years and aims to attribute the highest weightings to the best performing assets classes.

A lot of emphasis is placed on the relative performance of the assets against generally accepted benchmarks.

We invest solely in Exchange Traded Funds.

An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is an investment fund traded on stock exchanges, much like stocks. Sequant’s long term ETF strategies are aimed at investors who want to take a global, passive approach to investing.

The strategy re-balances monthly and investors will be notified when changes need to be made. The approach is to be fully invested at all times across 10 different investments.

We focus only on global equities and developed market Government bonds.



YEAR TO DATE

  • SQ UK ETF + 1,2%
  • SQ UK Small Cap0,60%
  • SQ UK MID Cap + 3,23%

CALENDAR OF EVENTS


CRYPTOCURRENCY TRADING WEBINAR, 22ND OF NOV

In the comfort of your home or workplace, our team will cover the foundations of blockchain technology, current trends within this developing market and how to trade Cryptocurrencies more effectively using the latest tools. Free to attend.

Time: 10:00-11.00 Online


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ROBO-ADVISORY TOOLS FOR YOUR PENSION PORTFOLIO 7th of Dec

We would like to share how our advisors and robo-advisory tools work in tandem helping structure and manage your passive portfolios.

Free to attend. Wine and canapes provided. Please pre-register here.

Time: 18:15-19.15 Tower Hill

december

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